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Moody's optymistycznie o polskiej gospodarce

wtorek, 28-03-2017 godz. 17:05

Agencja ratingowa Moody’s ma coraz lepsze zdanie na temat polskiej gospodarki. Można tak wnioskować na podstawie dzisiejszej decyzji, zgodnie z którą podniesiono prognozy PKB względem naszego kraju. Pracujący dla amerykańskiej agencji eksperci uważają, że wzrośnie on w tym roku o 3,2%, czyli o 0,3 punktu procentowego więcej niż sądzono wcześniej.
Agencja ratingowa Moody’s zdecydowała się na podniesienie swoich przewidywań względem wzrostu gospodarczego Polski. O ile jeszcze w styczniu eksperci twierdzili, że nasze PKB zwiększy się w tym roku o 2,9%, to teraz podwyższyli prognozy do poziomu 3,2%. Specjaliści twierdzą, że podniesienie prognoz wynika z realnego polepszenia się perspektyw dla rodzimej gospodarki.

Eksperci działający dla jednej z największych agencji ratingowych świata twierdzą, że na wzrost naszej gospodarki należy patrzeć dość optymistycznie, ponieważ na przestrzeni kolejnych miesięcy zakładają wyraźne zwiększenie konsumpcji prywatnej. Wpływa na to szereg różnorodnych czynników.

Specjaliści podkreślili, że w Polsce utrzymuje się niska stopa bezrobocia, która w lutym tego roku wyniosła 8,5%. Do tego zwrócili uwagę na wysokie zatrudnienie, które powoli zbliża się już do 6 mln osób. Do tego dochodzi jeszcze wzrost przeciętnego wynagrodzenia i to o 4,0% w ujęciu rocznym. Wzrost konsumpcji prywatnej ma dla polskiej gospodarki tak duże znaczenie, ponieważ stanowi ona aż 60% naszego PKB.

Poza twardymi, wymiernymi danymi wskazującymi na poprawę sytuacji gospodarczej, dobre są także przewidywania dotyczące wzrostu inwestycji, który ma być zauważalny jeszcze w tym roku. Eksperci Moody’s zakładają także, że nadal widoczna będzie poprawa w kwestii wykorzystania funduszy unijnych. Jeszcze lepiej ma być również na rynku pracy. Zakładają też, że wzrośnie popyt zewnętrzny.

Mimo publikacji nowych prognoz na bieżący rok, Moody’s nie wspomniało o roku następnym. Przypomnijmy, że w styczniowej publikacji zakładano, iż wzrost polskiego PKB w 2018r. wyniesie 2,8%wobec roku poprzedniego.

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