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Produkcja przemysłowa i sprzedaż detaliczna wystrzeliły w górę

wtorek, 19-12-2017 godz. 16:04

Przedstawione dziś przez GUS dane z polskiej gospodarki są zaskakująco dobre. Choć produkcja przemysłowa wzrosła w ujęciu rocznym o 9,1% wobec prognoz na poziomie 9,5% r/r, to sprzedaż detaliczna była w listopadzie o 10,2% wyższa niż przed rokiem. To największy wzrost od stycznia i wyraźnie lepszy od przewidywań (7,5%).
Dzisiejsze dane Głównego Urzędu Statystycznego na temat produkcji przemysłowej nie były tak dobre, jak można było się spodziewać, ale i tak wypadł zadowalająco. Produkcja odnotowała wzrost o 9,1% wobec listopada 2016r. To wynik o 0,4 punkty procentowe niższy od założeń ekspertów. Po odsezonowieniu wyników, wzrost wyniósł 6,9% r/r. W ujęciu miesięcznym produkcja spadła o 0,5%.

Gorszy od spodziewanego wynik to głównie wina górnictwa, w którym produkcja spadła aż o 14,8% w ujęciu rocznym. Zadowoliło przetwórstwo przemysłowe, które zwiększyło się na przestrzeni roku o 10,9%. Na 34 działy przemysłowe, w 29 widoczna była zwyżka. Najlepiej wypadła produkcja wyrobów farmaceutycznych, która wzrosła o 23,7% r/r. Produkcja maszyn i urządzeń była w tym roku o 23,5% wyższa niż w 2016r.

Sprzedaż detaliczna wystrzeliła w górę
Jak zwykle o tej porze roku, wyraźnie wzrosła sprzedaż detaliczna. Z najświeższych danych GUS-u wynika, że dynamika sprzedaży była wyższa od przewidywań ekspertów, a jej wzrost w ujęciu rocznym wyniósł 10,2%. To najlepszy wynik w cenach bieżących, jaki odnotowano od stycznia br. W październiku zwyżka wyniosła 8,0%, natomiast według prognoz analityków, w listopadzie miało to być 7,5%.

Wyższa sprzedaż widoczna była w listopadzie we wszystkich kategoriach  sklepów. Najmocniej wzrosła sprzedaż tekstyliów, odzieży i obuwia – o 20,9% r/r. O 15,3% więcej sprzedano farmaceutyków, kosmetyków i sprzętu ortopedycznego, a o 15,1% wzrosła sprzedaż mebli, RTV i AGD. 11,6% to zwyżka zaobserwowana w przypadku prasy, książek oraz pozostałej sprzedaży w wyspecjalizowanych sklepach.

W cenach stałych sprzedaż była w listopadzie wyższa o 8,8% niż rok w analogiczny okresie ubiegłego roku. Także w tym przypadku zwyżka dotyczyła wszystkich kategorii. Najmocniej, o 26,4% wzrosła sprzedaż w sklepach oferujących tekstylia, odzież i obuwie. Poza tym o 15,9% wzrosła sprzedaż w punktach handlujących pojazdami samochodowymi, motocyklami i częściami do nich.

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