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Grudniowe PMI: Dobre informacje na temat polskiego przemysłu

wtorek, 02-01-2018 godz. 16:04

Poznaliśmy dzisiaj grudniowy odczyt indeksu PMI, przedstawiającego kondycję rodzimego sektora wytwórczego. Wyniósł on 55,0 pkt, co oznacza, że był najwyższy od 3 lat i 0,3 pkt przebił prognozy ekonomistów. Co więcej, był to już 39., miesiąc, w którym odnotowano wzrost polskiego przemysłu. To nasz kolejny rekord w historii tych publikacji.
Publikowany przez IHS Markit indeks PMI okazał się w grudniu 2017r. bardzo udany dla polskiego przemysłu. Wskaźnik wyniósł równych 55,0 pkt, czyli znalazł się na poziomie najwyższym od 34 miesięcy. Był przy tym o 0,3 pkt wyższy od przewidywań analityków i o 0,8 pkt wyższy niż miesiąc wcześniej. W dodatku rekordowo, bo już 39. miesiąc z kolei rodzimy sektor wytwórczy notuje zwyżkę.

Jeśli chodzi o szczegółowe dane, to eksperci wyliczają, że w ostatnim miesiącu 2017r. udało się zaobserwować nie tylko przyspieszenia tempa wzrostu wielkości produkcji, ale też zwyżkę całkowitej liczby nowych zamówień, jak również wzrost liczby miejsc pracy. Rósł przy tym optymizm w stosunku do produkcji na przestrzeni przyszłych 12 miesięcy. Dodano do tego, że wyraźnie wzrosły koszty produkcji, a tempo inflacji było najwolniejsze od 3 miesięcy.

Badania wskazał, że optymizm działających w naszym kraju producentów był najwyższy od 8 miesięcy i na razie nic nie zapowiada, że miałby drastycznie spaść. Pod koniec roku producenci chwalili głównie ogólną, dobrą sytuację gospodarczą w kraju, wprowadzanie nowej oferty i inwestycje w sprzęt. Ze względu na optymizm, przypuszcza się, że 2018r. przyniesie kolejne, w pełni satysfakcjonujące dane na temat polskiego sektora przemysłowego.

Choć eksperci podkreślają, że należy pamiętać o ścisłych powiązaniach stanu polskiej gospodarki z innymi europejskimi krajami, to trzeba zaznaczyć, że indeksy PMI dla większości państw wypadają jeszcze lepiej niż wskaźnik dla Polski. Wiele z nich zanotowało w grudniu 2017r. wynik najlepszy w ostatnich miesiącach.

Dla całego Eurolandu przemysłowy PMI wyniósł 60,6 pkt i był najwyższy w historii tych badań. Swój rekord pobili też Niemcy z odczytem na poziomie 63,3 pkt, Austria (64,3 pkt) i Irlandia (59,1 pkt). We Francji przemysłowe PMI wyniosło 58,8 pkt, ale i tak był to odczyt najlepszy od 207 miesięcy! PMI dla przemysłu Grecji wypadł najlepiej od 114 miesięcy i wyniósł 53,1 pkt. PMI dla czeskiego przemysłu to 59,8 pkt, co jest wynikiem rekordowym na przestrzeni 81 miesięcy.

Część krajów, mimo wyraźnego wzrostu sektora wytwórczego, musiała pogodzić się z odczytami niższymi od poprzednich. PMI dla przemysłu Włoch wyniosło 57,4 pkt i było to 3-miesięczne minimum. Słabiej niż w 2 wcześniejszych miesiącach wypadła również Hiszpania (55,8 pkt) i Holandia (62,2 pkt).

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